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	<title>(360) 539-4687 -CU Mortgage Division - Olympia, WA - Mortgage Loan Professionals -NMLS#2297 &#187; Home Prices</title>
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		<title>Ignore The Case-Shiller Index; Focus On The Future Instead</title>
		<link>http://williamtuning.com/2011/03/case-shiller-december-2010/Olympia-Washington?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=case-shiller-december-2010</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Mar 2011 13:46:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Olympia WA - Mortgage Lender - (360) 539-4687 -CU Mortgage Division</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://williamtuning.com/?p=2071</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[December's Case-Shiller Index showed major devaluations nationwide. As compared to December 2009, on a year-over-year basis, home values fell in 18 of the Case Shiller Index's 20 tracked markets, and the U.S. National Index dropped 4 percent overall. The retreat puts December's home values at similar levels as compared to early-2003.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Tuning and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black;" title="Case-Shiller December 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/case-shiller-delta-monthly-201012.png" alt="Case-Shiller December 2010" width="450" height="438" /></p>
<p>Last week, Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s released its Case-Shiller Index for December 2010. The index is a home valuation tracker, meant to meausure the change in home prices from one period to the next.</p>
<p>December&#8217;s Case-Shiller Index showed major devaluations nationwide. As compared to December 2009, on a year-over-year basis, home values fell in 18 of the Case Shiller Index&#8217;s 20 tracked markets, and the U.S. National Index dropped 4 percent overall. </p>
<p>The retreat puts December&#8217;s home values at similar levels as compared to early-2003.</p>
<p>That said, buyers and sellers in the King County area would be wise to take the findings lightly. The Case-Shiller Index is inherently flawed. As such, its results are neither practical &#8212; nor relevant &#8212; to everyday Americans.</p>
<p>There are 3 Case-Shiller flaws, in fact.</p>
<p>The first flaw is the index&#8217;s limited sample set. Wikipedia lists <a title="List of cities, towns and villages in the United States" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cities,_towns,_and_villages_in_the_United_States" target="_blank">3,100+ municipalities</a> nationwide and we can be certain that real estate is bought and sold in all of them. The Case-Shiller Index, however, measures just 20 of them. That&#8217;s less than 1% of all U.S. cities. And then, <em>within</em> those tracked cities, Case-Shiller reports an average, lumping disparate neighborhoods and streets into one big number.</p>
<p>The &#8220;national figures&#8221; aren&#8217;t really national, and the &#8220;city data&#8221; doesn&#8217;t apply to your home, specifically.</p>
<p>The second Case-Shiller Index flaw is how it measures home value changes. The index only consider at &#8220;repeat sales&#8221; of the same home, so long as that home is a single-family, detached property. Condominiums, multi-family homes, and new construction are ignored in the Case-Shiller Index.</p>
<p>Because distressed properties account for such a high percentage of resales lately &#8212; <a title="Existing Home Sales, January 2011" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2011/02/january_above" target="_blank">36% in December</a> &#8211;foreclosures and short sales skew Case-Shiller Index worse.</p>
<p>And, lastly, the Case-Shiller Index is flawed by &#8220;age&#8221;. Because it reports closed sales a 60-day delay, December&#8217;s Case-Shiller Index is measuring the values of home sales contracts from September and October. The Case-Shiller Index, therefore, is a snapshot of the not-so-recent past, and does little to tell us about the next 60 days.</p>
<p>Overall, the Case-Shiller Index is helpful tool for economists and policy-makers, but it doesn&#8217;t do much good for individual homeowners across the city of Olympia or anywhere else. For accurate, real-time housing data in your local market, talk to a real estate professional instead.</p>
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		<title>December 2009 Case-Shiller Data Shows Battered Markets In Bona Fide Recovery</title>
		<link>http://williamtuning.com/2010/02/case-shiller-index-december-2009/Olympia-Washington?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=case-shiller-index-december-2009</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Feb 2010 13:45:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Olympia WA - Mortgage Lender - (360) 539-4687 -CU Mortgage Division</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily Mortgage News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Case-Shiller Index]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[William Tuning]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://williamtuning.com/?p=1283</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Using data compiled in December, Standard &#038; Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday.  The report shows home prices down just 2.5% on an annual basis, a figure much lower than the 8.7% annual drop reported after Q3.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Tuning and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black;" title="Case-Shiller Monthly Change Nov 2009-Dec 2009" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/case-shiller-delta-200912.png" alt="Case-Shiller Monthly Change Nov 2009-Dec 2009" width="420" height="409" /></p>
<p>Using data compiled in December, Standard &amp; Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday.  The report shows home prices down <a title="Case-Shiller December 2009 Report" href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/servlet/BlobServer?blobheadername3=MDT-Type&amp;blobcol=urldocumentfile&amp;blobtable=SPComSecureDocument&amp;blobheadervalue2=inline%3B+filename%3Ddownload.pdf&amp;blobheadername2=Content-Disposition&amp;blobheadervalue1=application%2Fpdf&amp;blobkey=id&amp;blobheadername1=content-type&amp;blobwhere=1245206345483&amp;blobheadervalue3=abinary%3B+charset%3DUTF-8&amp;blobnocache=true" target="_blank">just 2.5% on an annual basis</a>, a figure much lower than the 8.7% annual drop reported after Q3.</p>
<p>According to Case-Shiller representatives, the housing market is &#8220;in better shape than it was this time last year&#8221;, but some of the summer&#8217;s momentum has been lost. 15 of 20 tracked markets declined in value between November and December 2009.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, it&#8217;s interesting to note the 5 markets that <em>didn&#8217;t</em> decline &#8212; Detroit, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix and San Diego.  Each of these metro regions were among the hardest hit nationwide when home prices first broke.  Now, they&#8217;re leading the pack in price recovery.</p>
<p>For some real estate investors, that&#8217;s a positive signal.  But we also have to consider <a title="Case-Shiller Methodology" href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/servlet/BlobServer?blobheadername3=MDT-Type&amp;blobcol=urldata&amp;blobtable=MungoBlobs&amp;blobheadervalue2=inline%3B+filename%3DMethdology_SP_CS_Home_Price_Indices_Web.pdf&amp;blobheadername2=Content-Disposition&amp;blobheadervalue1=application%2Fpdf&amp;blobkey=id&amp;blobheadername1=content-type&amp;blobwhere=1243624745188&amp;blobheadervalue3=UTF-8" target="_blank">the Case-Shiller Index&#8217;s flaws</a> because they&#8217;re big ones.</p>
<p>As examples:</p>
<ol>
<li>Case-Shiller data is reported on a 2-month lag</li>
<li>The Case-Shiller sample set includes just 20 U.S. cities</li>
<li>There&#8217;s no &#8220;national real estate market&#8221; &#8212; real estate is local</li>
</ol>
<p>That said, the Case-Shiller Index is still important. As the most widely-used private sector housing index, Case-Shiller helps to identify broader housing trends and many people believe housing is a key element in the economic recovery.</p>
<p>If the markets that led the housing decline will lead the housing resurgence, December&#8217;s data shows that full recovery is right around the corner.</p>
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